Free Speech

 

I have already addressed the issue of free speech in the UK , and as an aside, made some comments on our US cousins views on the subject. ( Musk  ) As I have said previously, there are benefits in writing a blog that no one reads  and one of them is that I can revisit a subject as often as I wish. With that in mind,  I notice that, what was a trickle of judgement from our cousins has recently become a torrent of self righteous commentary from the US on the issue of free speech in the UK. The initial catalyst for this essay was the assassination of Charlie Kirk and the fall of Jimmy Kimmel. Just to clarify for those sensible people who do not follow US politics, Jimmy Kimmel did not pull the trigger that killed Charlie Kirk. You wouldn’t know that from the reporting of the legacy press  today who has, almost exclusively,  focussed on Kimmel’s’  Late Night show being pulled because he made some characteristically ill informed and nasty comments about the assassination. So why have I started my essay with this story? I wanted to point out that although the UK has very serious individual freedom issues, those who criticise from across the Atlantic should look to their own failings before criticising others. You could instance JD Vance’s Munich speech where he singled out the UK for its anti freedom of speech actions or, the following advice from the State Department :

The US State Department has accused the UK of having “significant human rights issues”, including restrictions on free speech. The unflattering assessment comes via a new version of an annual Human Rights Practices report ……… On free speech, while “generally provided” for, the report cites “specific areas of concern” around limits on “political speech deemed ‘hateful’ or  ‘offensive'”. Sky News, 13/08/25

To get back to Jimmy Kimmel. His program was pulled after, a not so veiled threat, from the Trump appointed chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, that Kimmel should be fired or suspended for his comments. I hold no brief for Kimmel and agree with Jim Geraghty’s view that,  “As a host, when the topic comes to politics, Kimmel is snide, mean, and spiteful.” National Review 19/09/25. However, I would suggest that if a similar situation played out in the UK, so called protectors of free speech and the First Amendment, Trump, Vance et al, would be up in arms decrying government intervention by suppressing free speech. The Democrats have ‘pounced’ on this opportunity to repeat their refrain that Trump is a threat to democracy because of this but their record is even worse. The difference is that they can mobilise their power base in the legacy media, Universities, Unions, Entertainment and bureaucracies to do their dirty work for them. In the political arena we have the great Russia Hoax which took two years to establish that there were no grounds to the claim that Trump colluded with the Russians to affect the 2016 election. During Covid the medical establishment circled the wagons and actively suppressed any view which challenged the official orthodoxy, such as the Great Barrington Declaration co authored by Jay Bhattacharya. ( 97% of Scientists  ) We also have the coordinated Lawfare assaults, the attempt to take Trump off the ballet, which had to be resolved at the Supreme Court and various non profits taking aim at individuals who have transgressed progressives group  think in some way. For example, Mike Lindell — The CEO of My Pillow said his company was ditched by nearly 20 retailers after he publicly questioned the electoral results of the 2020 presidential election
Chris Harrison – The host of ABC’s “The Bachelor” franchise decided to “step aside” after defending current contestant Rachael Kirkconnell when old photos surfaced of her attending an Old South antebellum party.                                            Adam Rubenstein — The former New York Times opinion editor and writer resigned from the paper in December, six months after its staff went into an uproar over a piece he edited by Sen. Tom Cotton.                                                          Matthew Yglesias — The liberal opinion writer resigned from Vox, a publication he co-founded, after many of his woke colleagues found his articles too right of centre       16/02/21, The Washington Times                        

So, from the above we can see that some Americans have a blind spot when it comes to Freedom of Speech issues in their own backyard, which seems to give them permission to highlight failings in others. Both sides of the political divide seem to exercise suppression of free speech but I would say that the Democrats seem to be better at it, perhaps because they have had more practice than their opponents. (More for another day)  I would  suggests that the First Amendment is increasingly under attack and is only held up by the Supreme Court, which is in danger of being dragged into partisan warfare. The other avenue for concern is the explosion of cancel culture which by passes all conventional safeguards and passes judgement in the court of public opinion, as some of the examples above illustrate.

Having said all of the above, when we come to the UK I am afraid much of the criticism I complain of, is justified. We can see the depth of the problem or, size of the swamp, whichever way you look at it, by the reaction to the Supreme Court’s  definition of a woman as it applies  the  2010 Equality Act .  We  can see embedded opposition slow walking  observance to the law in the NHS and the SNP. We see the Liberal Party split on the issue and  as a result not allowing the subject to be raised at their recent Party Conference. We can see Bristol City Council’s Green Party rejecting the Supreme Courts decision by wanting to force the introduction of non gendered  speech such as,  “chest feeding”, “people with ovaries” and instead of ‘maternity’ substituting it with ‘Paternity’. The last bit defies even Green Party logic! All of the above is for another day. I would like to focus on the specific area of the implementation of the Hate Speech Laws and the resulting erosion of individual rights in the UK. There are a large number of laws, excluding regulations, that are enacted to protect people from, amongst other things, hate speech. (A silent round of applause for anyone who can add to the list) Whilst the Equalities Act, amended by the Supreme Court, is mainly concerned with employment it is interesting to note the sheer volume of legislation which, in effect criminalises citizens speech and thought. The main Acts are as follows:

Public Order Act 1986, The Football Offences Act 1991, Criminal Justice and Public Order Act 1994, 1998’s Crime and Disorder Act, The Racial and Religious Hatred Act 2006,The Criminal Justice and Immigration Act 2008, the Online Safety Act 2024,

2010 Equality Act updated protected characteristics dissimilarly Gender, Race, Disability, Religion or belief, Sexual orientation, Gender reassignment, Marriage or civil partnerships, Pregnancy and maternity

The difficulty is that much of this legislation is promoted by a belief that it will satisfy the most vocal wing of a party with little thought of how it will be enacted and the almost inevitable unintended consequences that follows any government attempt at social engineering.

Non Crime Hate Incident Interview. The Times 19/09/25

The picture on the left is a still from a video taken by Deborah Anderson, described as a Trump supported, of an interview by a Met Police officer concerning something she wrote on Facebook. She was told that if she didn’t agree to apologise she would have to attend a formal interview at the police station. Ms Anderson is a cancer sufferer and didn’t appreciate the police home visit and responded,  “I’m not apologising to anybody.” Good for her. But can you see  what the officer is saying here? He said, “Something that we believe you’ve written on Facebook has upset someone.” Not, we have received a complaint from X that we deem contravenes Sect X of the xxxx Act in relation to your Facebook post of YYYY. The, “we believe” bit looks as though they haven’t even done

Six Herts Police Officers arrest Couple over WhatsApp dispute with School. Maxie Allen/Times Radio

any  basic investigation into the complaint but assumed that they could get a quick confession and close the file. This was the case with the six police officers arresting parents over a private WhatsApp posting about a dispute with a School Head Teacher. ( Dixon ) The police wanted to handcuff the mother as they arrested her but  relented when the mother pleaded with them not to do it in front of her children. ( See Update ) The common factors between the above stories are that in neither cases was the complainant identified, nor evidence of the hate speech given but in both cases the police presence was oppressive and  charges were subsequently dropped.

Sir Mark Rowley Photo MSM.com

As I have reported in other essays, the first casualty of criminalising speech and thought; is the police. Sending five armed officers to arrest Graham Linehan; six to arrest the law abiding parents described above, does nothing to enhance their reputation. This at a time when they complain that they are starved of resources and cannot respond to low level crime. As noted above, in most cases, the charges are dropped but a non-crime hate incident (NCHI) may be recorded. The police have received significant blowback for their involvement in attempting to enforce the myriad hate speech laws and have called for greater clarity from the government. Sir Mark Rowley, Head of the Met, is to meet the Home Secretary to try to get a better definition of what constitutes a hate crime. “Sir Mark Rowley wants to free police from investigating complaints with no evidence of intended real-world harm.”  Telegraph 07/09/25 Some would say that he is a bit too late to the party but it was his police force that arrested Graham Linehan for posting the following advice to woman, on X, “If a trans-identified male is in a female-only space he is committing a violent, abusive act. Make a scene, call the cops and if all else fails, punch him in the balls.” Is this really promoting “real world harm” ? Mention of the non-crime hate incident (NCHI) is another reason that the police are becoming more unpopular. The Times editorial, on the subject was quite blunt and to the point;

It is a legal abomination, attacking freedom of speech through the use of blacklisting and requiring almost nothing in the way of proof.  The Times 14/11/24

Recording NCHIs is said to take up to 60,000 hours of police time each year PHIL OLDHAM/SHUTTERSTOCK The Times

The editorial went on to describe the introduction of NCHI’s as an invasive weed which grows until it permeated the whole legal system. In summary it is defined as , “A non-crime hate incident (NCHI) is where someone perceives hostility or prejudice based on characteristics such as race, religion, sexual orientation, disability, or gender identity—but the incident does not meet the threshold of a criminal offence.” Legisia. What this means is that I can report my neighbour to the police after an argument over parking, framing it as a race issue, and if the police decide not to prosecute they can record it as a NCHI. We know that the police have some discretion in whether to investigate criminal cases, despite what Mark Rowley implies but it is obvious that this is not exercised on a common sense way. It does not explain why there are so many instances of petty claims that  have been investigated and recorded as Hate Crimes. The other part of the example  I gave was that it is my perception of an event which forms the basis of a police review. The Free Speech Union records the following extract from the College of Policing’s (CoP’s) 2014 Hate Crime Operation Guidance (HCOG)

 “The victim does not have to justify or provide evidence of their belief, and police officers or staff should not directly challenge this perception. Evidence of the hostility is not required.” College of Policing 2014

Getting back to my complaint against my neighbour, he doesn’t know who the complainant is; the complaint is based on my perception of the facts; there is no trial where this can be challenged and he might not even be aware that he has a police record. What is the difference between the NCHI records and the normal criminal  intelligence gathering by police? The difference, for example,  is that my neighbour may be refused employment as a result of an enhanced record search by his potential employer. What we have seen is the inevitable outcome of an erosion of citizens rights, when governments give way to ideologically driven extremists within their party.  Lord Hogan-Howe, formerly head of the Met, is leading a campaign in the House of Lords to abolish NCHIs. He made two key points in the Lords,

“Whether something is a crime is an objective statutory test. Whether something is a non-crime hate incident is a subjective test based on guidance — producing inconsistent outcomes.”

“the police should not be put in the invidious position of having to record what are often vexatious, politically motivated complaints, which inevitably undermines public confidence in them.” The Times 16/10/25

What of poor Jimmy Kimmel, was he consigned to the backwater of the Bakers Field news? Did he have to scrape by on less than his $16 million annual salary? Surprise, surprise, his show was reinstated after three days but  all is not well in the late night format. According to the New York Post his show has been bleeding viewers for some time, ” Nielsen data showed sharp summer declines and a year-long slide.” 18/09/25, New York Post. However, as much as he betrayed his ‘snide, mean, and spiteful’ nature in describing Charlie Kirks assassination, did it rise the the level of hate speech. In the recent overturning of a case against a protestor who burnt a copy of the Koran, the UK Appeal Court Judge,  Mr Justice Bennathan said on the right to free speech,

One of the precious rights that affords us is to express our own views and read, hear and consider ideas without the state intervening to stop us doing so.”  ‘The price we pay for that is having to allow others to exercise the same rights, even if that upsets, offends or shocks us.’ The Daily Mail 10/10/25

Lucy Connolly sentenced to 31 months jail for a tweet which she took down the same day

If we apply this ruling to Kimmel, we can say that although he lied about the circumstances of the shooting and attempted to defame the victim, in my view his comments do not rise to the level of a crime. (May his show collapse under its own weight of partisan hackery! Me exercising my own free speech right) There seem to be two themes that come out of the discussion so far that may make speech a criminal matter or not. The first is mentioned by Mr Justice Bennathan in the Koran case, ‘Coskun’s actions were not directed at a person or people in particular.’ By this measure death threats made against JK Rowling would pass the test. The second is that the police should be taken out of the business of trying to assess criminality based on perception and subjectivity where they are not able to apply an “objective statutory test.” Perhaps a third theme is that all matters deemed to be criminal should be conducted to the same standards as any other prosecution for common law infringement. Therefore, the police should have to prove that the accused speech was a real threat to the complainant and that the accused should have the right to defend themselves in open court, with all the force of the law that protects the innocent until proven guilty. Let us run a couple of cases by the above principles and see where it leaves us. We can eliminate the Hertfordshire Parents on WhatsApp making fun of the Head Teacher of the School as being inconsequential. It is trivial, non threatening and the police should have immediately rejected it as not rising to the level of  criminality. Include the  Graham Linehan case under the same heading as being trivial and politically motivated.  In the case of Lucy Connolly, it is interesting to look at her treatment for a post which she regretted and took down within three hours and the sentence imposed . She was sentenced to 31 months jail after reacting to the the horrific murders of three girls by Axel Rudakubana. She had no criminal record, pleaded guilty, received no bail, was refused early release and had an appeal against the sentence turned down. We will now see why she has become an symbol of a two tier justice system. Contrast her treatment with that of Salman Iftikhar, who threatened an air steward and her colleagues saying, “You will be dragged by your hair from your room and gang raped and set on fire.” He threatened to blow up the cabin crew’s floor in their hotel.” (The Telegraph 12/08/25) He was sentenced to 15 months jail, even though he had a criminal record and the threats that he made were an horrific example of  Mr Justice Bennathans test of whether they were general or, personal. Lord Hermer, the Attorney General, is fighting a losing battle to convince the public that giving Lucy Connolly twice the sentence of Iftikhar is not an example of two tier justice.(See update)

I have described some of the background and outcomes related to those, “legal abominations”  known as the Hate Speech laws. However, I have only scratched the surface and there are so many other problems associated with these very un British laws. I could do a whole essay on the crime statistics covering laws that both current and past Police Chiefs have described as subjective and ill defined. I could also highlight the ‘chilling effect’ on free speech of heavy handed policing which was the subject of an  ECHR case in which the Court said, “that the very fact of imposing a criminal conviction was one of the most serious forms of interference with the right to freedom of expression, having regard to the existence of other means of intervention and rebuttal, particularly through civil remedies. ” ECHR Reichman v. France. Translated, this means that six policemen arriving at your door and taking you to the police station, in handcuffs, has the desired effect of sending a message. No matter that the investigation is often dropped, it is a clear warning to all that there is a consequence to voicing your opinion, whether it be in the village pub or, on campus in America. It is my opinion that Lucy Connolly’s sentence was such a warning, clearly intended to chill any discussion concerning  crimes committed by illegal immigrants. The logic of the above discussion appears to be that we should keep officialdom out of controlling public thought and speech, as suggested by the ECHR, unless there are provable threats to public safety. That anyone accused of such behaviour should have the same basic rights as any other defendant; the process should be fully transparent and the law tightly defined to prevent any official overreach, as in the Connolly case. Failing that, as suggested by the ECHR, there is the option of suing your offender under civil law and obtaining a remedy whilst preserving the rights of both parties of ” intervention and rebuttal.” “In the year ending March 2024, there were 140,561 hate crimes recorded by the police in England and Wales” UK Gov 10/10/24 Given all that we have discussed, I do not believe these numbers. I do not believe they reflect actual criminality. I do not believe that the numbers are statistically robust enough to rely on. I do believe that freedom of speech is one of the foundations of Britishness, which has been eroded by weak governments.

There is no country in the world in which everything can be provided for by the laws, or in which political institutions can prove a substitute for common sense and public morality. — Alexis de Tocqueville

 

 

Update

After considerable backlash from the public over the Lucy Connolly sentence of 31 months in prison, the case of Salman Iftikhar was referred to  the Court of Appeal to review his sentence. His sentence was increased from 15 months to four years and three months. The main target of his abuse said that she was “haunted and traumatised” and had to take14 months off work as a result. There was no explanation why the initial sentence was set so low.

Sources

N/K, 13/08/25, Sky News, US accuses UK of ‘significant human rights issues’ and restricting free speech, https://news.sky.com/story/us-accuses-uk-of-significant-human-rights-issues-and-restricting-free-speech-13410873

Ariel Zilber, 18/09/25, New York Post, Jimmy Kimmel’s ratings were plummeting before ABC suspended him for Charlie Kirk comments, https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/jimmy-kimmel-s-ratings-were-plummeting-before-abc-suspended-him-for-charlie-kirk-comments/ar-AA1MPOBv

Kelly Sadler, 16/02/21, The Washington Times, https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/feb/16/top-10-recent-examples-cancel-culture/

John Flatley, 10 October 2024, Hate crime, England and Wales, year ending March 2024, https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/hate-crime-england-and-wales-year-ending-march-2024/hate-crime-england-and-wales-year-ending-march-2024

Free Speech Union, https://freespeechunion.org/news/?v=7885444af42e

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1mx09l5297o

Leading  article, 14/11/24, The Times, The Times view on non-crime hate incidents: Wasting Police Time, https://www.thetimes.com/comment/the-times-view/article/the-times-view-on-non-crime-hate-incidents-wasting-police-time-z520r7txk

Matt Dathan, 16/10/25, The Times, Ex-Met Police chief leads call to abolish non-crime hate incidents, https://www.thetimes.com/article/523326f1-56d3-450b-b84e-9348cd20c706

OLIVIA CHRISTIE, 10/10/25, Daily Mail, Koran-burning protester wins appeal against conviction for a religiously aggravated public order offence after arguing his actions are protected under free speech, https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15180897/Protester-Koran-conviction-appeal-win.html

Genevieve Holl-Allen, 12/08/25, The Telegraph ,Rape threat passenger ‘should not have shorter sentence than Lucy Connolly’, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2025/08/12/rape-threat-passenger-shorter-sentence-lucy-connolly/

 

Poor old Auntie

 

Tim Davie resigned as director-general of the BBC after a week of disclosures by The Telegraph of biased reporting Credit: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg

I have always thought that no one actually read my essays but is it too much to believe that I sent the following complaint to the BBC yesterday and todays resignation of the BBC’s director-general and its head of news are connected?

 

 

BBC bias 

I was born in the fifties and grew up with Auntie providing programs such as Two Way Family Favourites, Hancock’s Half Hour and wonderful classical music concerts. On a more serious note I learned that oppressed people, whether under occupation by Hitler, Stalin, Mao or Malan, listened to the BBC to get the truth, often under threat of death.
I understand that these times cannot be replicated and partly as a result of mass media we are bombarded by many versions of ‘the truth’ which makes the BBC’s position very difficult. However, this does not explain the many examples of bias that seem to have come to a head recently. To claim that the editing of Trumps speech was an accident suggests that the Editor had no knowledge of the US  legacy News attempt to edit out the “peaceful and patriotic” part of the same speech. There can only be two reasons for this, those responsible are either incompetent or, partisan. This bias seems to go in only one direction, whether it be migration, climate change or gender issues there seems to be a systematic progressive approach to editing or suppressing material that challenges progressive ideology. Who knew that the BBC had a 2SLGBTQQIPAA desk?
Of course, when we mention gender we must reference the latest BBC idiocy in it’s condemnation of it’s own newsreader who added the word ‘woman’ to explain the nonsense phrase ‘pregnant people’.
This has been happening for many years and I am afraid that the ideological capture by a few has infected the whole organisation. The public is watching how it responds to the latest revelations and I think that the BBC’s future, in it’s current form, is at stake. 

Not Brexit Again Fintan

 

I usually try to read a ‘real’ newspaper every week, over a coffee. However, I am a reluctant subscriber to a couple of on line newspapers and I tend to skim over the headlines to see whether anything catches my eye. As I wrote in one of my earlier essays, occasionally I do this and as I move on to the next article I get the impression that I have missed something that warrants more attention. This happened a couple of days ago and the article I had bypassed was entitled, If there’s so much buyer’s remorse about Brexit, why is Nigel Farage the rising figure in UK politics? What caught my attention was the feeling that for such a complex question as Brexit, the focus on Farage promised a less than nuanced answer. I was not surprised to see that the author was Fintan O’Toole, with whom I have disagreed on many issues. His main argument seems to be that, Brexit failed, the majority would like a closer relationship with the EU but due to a rise in English Nationalism, the UK will fall apart with disastrous consequences for Irish Unity.

I will try not to revisit the  Battle of Brexit but will endeavour to give some context to the fundamentals. In the beginning, Britain was sold on the idea that they were joining a super European Commonwealth known as the European Economic Community. At the time there were a large number of issues at play including, inter alia,  regional differences, the South of England was pro joining and the North against. Political, Labour and the Unions against and Conservatives and Business for. Demographic, young people for, older against. In other words, in almost any way that you could slice and dice the vote, there was an opinion. Even so, on 28th October 1971 The House of Commons voted 356–244 in favour of the motion to join the EEC. However, there was a question as to whether the UK was a good fit for Europe. This view was encapsulated by Charles De Gaul who thought that the UK was culturally closer to the US than it’s European neighbours. He gave  this as his reason for twice thwarting Britain’s accession hopes. (See History Matters – A Frenchmans View of Brexit) What I am trying to illustrate was that there were a large number of issues that made up the debate but none seemed to have an overtly English nationalistic base. You could make an argument that one of the main drivers was class and Fintan  draws attention to the Remainers overconfidence by not seeing the neglected electorate, discovered by Dominic Cummings, that had such an impact on the 2016 Referendum.

Fintan’s article starts with the premise that there is extensive “buyers remorse” concerning Brexit and the only thing preventing a return to Europe is an intransigent group of English nationalists. He quotes some statistics showing the effects of the “bitter harvest” unfortunately not referencing his sources. He also uses quotes from the book by Ailsa Henderson and Richard Wyn Jones entitled Englishness The Political Force Transforming Britain. However, I find that some of his conclusions are not supported by the quotes. For example, he says, “over 40 per cent of people in England now say that “English” is a better fit for their sense of identity than “British”. Not surprisingly, these people are much more inclined to support Farage‘s Reform UK or the Conservatives than those who identify primarily as British.” I am not sure whether his statement on  the political affiliations mentioned are his opinion, along the lines  of, “everyone who has eyes can see that” or is it supported by data from the study. There also seems to be some conflict in tone between Fintan’s analysis and a report, also authored by Ailsa Henderson and Richard Wyn Jones who suggest that rather than  a rampant and self destructive crowd of football hooligan Farage supporters, the divide in Britain is far more nuanced and ambivalent than suggested. (see Addendum and link below)

Five years is a short time to determine whether a complete transformation of an economy has been successful or not. Rather like turning an oil tanker around, it takes time. Certainly, you can find no shortage of polls which show unhappiness with the economy but I too can throw some numbers into the mix which show a different picture. Unemployment figures are more or less in line with G7, USA and Germany but well below France and the Eurozone, for example.

The UK harmonised unemployment rate for Q1 2025 was 4.5%. This was above Germany (3.5%) and the US (4.1%) but below France (7.3%).The Eurozone’s rate was 6.2% in Q1 2025, while in the G7 it was 4.3%. House of Commons Library,

Future growth projected by the OECD is positive, relative to the Eurozone.

OECD G7 GDP growth forecasts for 2025 - the US is highest at 1.6%, Germany lowest at 0.4%. The UK is second highest at 1.3%

Do I believe that the UK economy is stable and that we can take our foot of the accelerator? No but I wonder if Fintan has looked at similar surveys in France and Germany and drawn the same conclusions about nationalism in Europe. Of course, Brexit was never just about the economy. Fintan correctly identified the establishment figures who insisted that, “it is the economy, stupid.” They failed to see the shift in the concerns of the electorate towards sovereignty and resentment towards the arrogance of the elites.  We should note that this is not a particularly English trait but can be seen in the 2016 and 2024 US elections, recent elections in Italy, France, Poland and Germany and even in Finton’s back yard with the crushing of the two Constitutional Amendments. Yes I agree with Finton that the British economy is in flux but I would suggest that polls reflect  frustration that is usually aimed at the poor management of both major parties rather than an attempt to overthrow the system.

It is difficult to assess Finton’s claim of a new English Nationalistic movement because, even he has difficulty defining what it is. As he says, “English nationalism was and is ambiguous and largely unarticulated. For centuries, it was wrapped in a double layer of packaging – Britishness and Empire. But it never went away and Brexit was its moment to emerge. We didn’t really get to hear what it is in simple language, but we were left in no doubt about what it is not – European.” So, according to Finton, New English Nationalism is identified by what it disagrees with? You can select any national poll you like and cobble together a list of complaints  and group them in a certain way but that doesn’t, in itself,  a Nationalist movement make. I would question the usual reference to Empire in an England where I guess, 80% of people never experienced it. The problem for Finton is that he has the same view of England and englishness that the grandees and elites had in 2016. Finton gives an example of post Brexit English Nationalism by questioning their supposed indifference to the fate of the other regions in the UK. With a super progressive corrupt SNP running Scotland and a “19 per cent higher than the UK average” public spending in Northern Ireland, does anyone think it strange that English  taxpayers are ambivalent about funding them?  Finton is surprised by the this alleged ambivalence of English voters to a scenario where Scotland and Northern Ireland freely choose to “walk away” from the Union, given the above I am not sure what else he expects the English taxpayer to do. It is interesting that Finton refers to Irish Unification as a future outcome but according to a  2021 poll whilst 67% of people in the Republic are in favour of unification, only 22% are prepared to pay for it. (Irish Independent 01/05/21) I see no difference between the views of the 78% of Irish and 40%+ (Finton’s number [?]) English taxpayers on funding Northern Ireland.

So where are we with Finton’s article? I would agree that the economy is all over the place but look around. Look at where the poster boys and girls of the EU are today. Germany is really struggling with a  three year decline after stagnation and France is not much better. Most western countries are facing high post Covid levels of debt and problems connected to immigration. Traditional political Parties are facing competition from the likes of Farage and brought to you from Finton’s back yard,  the National Party, The Irish People, Ireland First and the Irish Freedom Party. Frustration with the political elites and bad management of the economy are not confined to England. Yes Brexit was a major event for England but more immediate is the aftermath of Covid and the migrant problem, for example. Farage is the result of a very poor selection of leaders offered to the electorate. I have grave doubts about his ability to galvanise the economy or to keep his promises. In thinking about most problems it is important to step back from the immediate issue and put it in context, so that it can be viewed in it’s entirety with all the variables visible. Fintan’s article has the feeling of a construction that starts with the answer and builds a question around it to prove the point. The Union is under pressure and Brexit may be one factor but it is only one of the many variables that constantly influences our daily lives. In the end, as it stands at the present time, I do not think that Fintan has proved his argument. I do not see a rise of English Nationalism fuelled by Brexit. I can see a situation where  the Union disintegrates but it is far from certain and Brexit will not be the main cause.

 

Addendum

G K Chesterton quote from the 1908 poem ‘The Secret People’: ‘Smile at us, pay us, pass us, but do not quite forget, for we are the people of England that have never spoken yet’.

Britishness means different things – it values different things – in different parts of the state, and the variation is such that anyone tempted to insert a ‘British’ variable in any kind of modelling and expect it to operate in a similar way regardless of where a respondent lives should, quite simply, desist from doing so. Henderson A and Wyn Jones R (2023) The ambivalent union:

English nationalism is absent because there is no need for it. Nationalism flourishes when people feel thwarted. But what England wants, England gets. England, usually, prefers a Conservative government and so Britain, usually, has one. England wanted out of the eu, and Britain did leave. Having your own way is not a recipe for resentment. So on St George’s Day, do the most English thing of all: forget about England. It still has not spoken yet. Bagehot, The Economist, If English nationalism is on the rise, no one has told the English,

Sources

Fintan O’Toole, 27/05/25, The Irish Times, If there’s so much buyer’s remorse about Brexit, why is Nigel Farage the rising figure in UK politics?https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2025/05/27/if-theres-so-much-buyers-remorse-about-brexit-why-is-nigel-farage-the-rising-figure-in-uk-politics/

Daniel Harari, 16/05/25, House of Commons Library, GDP international comparisons: Economic indicators,https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn02784/

Brian Mahon, 29 May 2025, Irish Daily Mail, Ireland ‘largely compliant’ with EU hate speech laws – Taoiseach, https://www.pressreader.com/ireland/irish-daily-mail/20250529/281668260904133

McCrone, D. (2023), The Rise and Rise of English Nationalism?. The Political Quarterly, 94: 604-612. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13303

Henderson A and Wyn Jones R (2023) The ambivalent union: Findings from the State of the Union survey,
IPPR. http://www.ippr.org/research/publications/the-ambivalent-union and Englishness The Political Force Transforming Britain

Fionnán Sheahan, 01/05/21, Irish Independent, Majority favour a united Ireland, but just 22pc would pay for it

Bagehot, 19/04/23, The Economist, If English nationalism is on the rise, no one has told the English, https://www.economist.com/britain/2023/04/19/if-english-nationalism-is-on-the-rise-no-one-has-told-the-english

 

 

 

 

 

Dixon of Dock Green wouldn’t have done this

 

Police officers on a residential street.
Police arrest parents who complained in school WhatsApp group. The Times 29/03/25

Quite a lot of pictures to kick off this article. Starting with the picture on the left which features six of Hertfordshire’s finest, arriving in two  squad cars and a police van, to arrest  Allen and Rosalind Levine for being  “disparaging” about their local school management. I have a link to Fiona Hamilton’s Times article below and will leave it to you to get into the weeds of the story but it appears that Allen and Rosalind Levine had a less than harmonious relationship with  Jackie Spriggs, the chair of governors at their child’s school. It seems that as a result the Levines were barred from the school, missing their 9 year olds Christmas play performance and the parent-teacher night. More seriously, the Levines daughter, Sasha, suffers from ‘ epilepsy and is neurodivergent and registered disabled’ and the parents were denied a  meeting with her teacher   to ensure she knew

how to administer medication in an emergency. A key element in this saga is that the Levines still don’t know what the offending communication was that triggered the  arrest. The Times asked the school, the local council and police for information about the quantity of emails and for examples of what constituted malicious communications. All three declined to give details.(The Times, 29/03/25)

However, prior to the arrest, there was a communication from Chairperson Spriggs demanding that,  “inflammatory and disparaging comments made on social media” should stop. The Levines assume that this refers to comments made on a private WhatsApp parents group and are astonished the school authorities should think that it had the power to censor free speech in this manner. The Levines supplied some examples of the messages on the WhatsApp platform (Excerpt above). In the absence of any evidence to the contrary from the authorities,  you would have to say that those who called in the police must be very thin skinned to be offended by these rather mild messages.

Dixon of Dock Green - Wikiwand
Dixon of Dock Green. 1950’s TV Series. wikiwand.com

Hertfordshire police issued a statement saying, “The arrests were necessary to fully investigate the allegations as is routine in these types of matters. Following further investigations, officers deemed that no further action should be taken due to insufficient evidence.”  (The Times, 29/03/25) Dixon of Dock Green would have been shocked at this description of modern police procedure. Surely the correct process is to first review the complaint, then if it has merit, the police would gather supporting evidence and finally arrest the offenders. In this case, six police officers arrested the parents, in front of their children, kept them in a cell late in to the night and five weeks later decided that there wasn’t enough evidence to proceed!! If this is how the police conduct investigations  then there should be an urgent review of their powers of arrest. Aside from this and putting aside the issue of freedom of speech and the trauma that the family experienced, WHAT A MONUMENTAL WASTE OF TIME AND RESOURCES!

Hertfordshire violent crime statistics in maps and graphs. March 2025
Graph showing Violent crime 10 year trend in Hertfordshire plumplot.co.uk

This action has rightly brought some bad press  coverage for Herts police, not only for their heavy handed approach to free speech but also from angry citizens who have been constantly told that the police are under resourced and therefore unable to respond to minor offenses.  In the face of rising crime, as shown by the graph above, ordinary citizens are angry over, what they see as wasting resources on policing gossip. Typical of the comments responding to Hamilton’s article is the one from S Clarke.

6 officers attending – 5 weeks of enquiries. Nothing more than simple criticism. No threats, profanities or racism. My burglary attempt ( door damaged window broken ) no attendance of an officer at all, scenes of crime civilian attended 5 days later No forensics. No further enquiries. How did we get here ? (The Times, 29/03/25)

They see a reluctance by the police, to bend the trend downwards by tackling crime head on but preferring to send a posse to arrest two law abiding people in a parent/school dispute. Even the new Chief Constable, whilst backing the posse, thought that it could have been handled differently.

The truth is that, with the exception of credible threats of violence, the police should not be involved in deciding what is or, isn’t free speech. In this case, the test is that neither the School, the Counsel or Police could give examples of the criminally offensive speech.

Jonathan Ash-Edwards, the police and crime commissioner for Hertfordshire, condemned the arrest of the parents. “While people should be courteous and go through the proper channels when raising concerns about a public service, the public should be able to express their views without worrying they’ll get a knock at the door,” Mr Ash-Edwards said. (The Times, 29/03/25)

There is already a plethora of laws restricting speech in the UK.  The  Public Order Act 1986 makes it an offence for a person to use “threatening, abusive or insulting words or behaviours that causes, or is likely to cause, another person harassment, alarm or distress” (CARE) The Terrorism Act of 2006; The  Communications Act of 2003; the  Human Rights Act of 1998 whilst granting universal free expression is restricted by, “the interests of national security, territorial integrity or public safety, for the prevention of disorder or crime, for the protection of health or morals, for the protection of the reputation or rights of others, for preventing the disclosure of information received in confidence, or for maintaining the authority and impartiality of the judiciary”. (HOPE, 14/08/20)  Quite a lot of legislation and more is to come. Aside from terrorism and criminality the issue of name calling and hurt feelings should be settled at the lowest level by arbitration under the supervision of the civil courts. The Police have no business getting involved in non violent disputes between parents and School Boards. The Civil Courts have adequate, equitable powers to resolve this sort of issue. Perhaps if the government provided a low cost civil alternative and challenged the police to improve their clear up rates, I think everyone would be better served.

Update 18/11/25

“Police have paid out £20,000 in damages for unlawfully arresting a couple after they made complaints about their daughter’s primary school, including on a WhatsApp group chat.”

Callum May and Mariam Issimdar, 17/11/25, The BBC, Police admit WhatsApp arrest error with £20k payout ,https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gz1qy30v5o

Sources

Fiona Hamilton, 29/03/25, The Times, Police arrest parents who complained in school WhatsApp group, https://www.thetimes.com/uk/education/article/police-arrest-parents-who-complained-in-school-whatsapp-group-6r6lb2fgn

Tim Sigsworth, 01/04/25, Police chief defends force that arrested WhatsApp row parents https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/04/01/police-chief-defends-arrest-whatsapp-school-row-parents/

Juliana Rordorf , 14 08 20, HOPE, https://hopenothate.org.uk/2020/08/14/free-speech-laws-in-the-uk-an-overview/

James Mildred, Free Speech in the UK: what does the law actually say? https://care.org.uk/cause/freedom-of-speech/free-speech-law

deja vu

There is a benefit to writing a blog that no-one reads. It means that I have the luxury of revisiting issues on as many occasions that I see questionable opinions repeated. This inevitably  brings me to the Irish Times. That the IT gives me endless inspiration is not in doubt but what will disturb an imaginary reader of this blog is the number of times I have to visit the same subjects. To prove a point I was irresistibly drawn to Conor Gallagher’s article entitled, State stops opening new asylum seeker centres in certain areas due to ‘local feedback’ and ‘violent protest. (Irish Times 14/03/25) I should have been warned, as a rule of thumb  the longer the title, the less informed the story. However, motivated by my sense of duty to my fictional reader, I ploughed on. As usual, I have provided the link to his article below but  to save time I will provide a quick summary for your convenience.

The article relates to  the International Protection Accommodation Service (IPAS) and their decision not to open new centres  for asylum seekers in certain areas. The main reason given was that it was due to “local and political feedback”, in other words people objected to immigrants being dumped in their neighbourhood. You might think that the word, dumped used above is somewhat pejorative but we have seen similar ‘feedback‘ in regard to housing that the IT has ignored in the past  and I think that  this language is justified. ( see Irish Housing Crisis  ) The piece goes on to explain that, as a result of this “feedback” and other issues,  IPAS  was experiencing difficulties housing the 18,000 asylum seekers who arrived in Ireland last year and the anticipated 15,000  expected this year. As I noted in the linked essay above, you might think that the immigration problem is smaller than you thought, with only less than 20,000 immigrants arriving each year. Hold that thought, I will come back to it.

It goes on to quote ICAS  as saying, ““Fairly uniquely in the Civil Service, the work of the division is subject to significant instances of protest, instances of arson and other violence or criminality, and targeting by anti-immigration or far-right activists,”” I note that they covered themselves  by  limiting the reference to the Civil Service and not the wider Public  Service,  lest the Guards, A&E staff,  Welfare and many other officials  point out that they have similar or, even more serious issues in their work. I also note the obligatory reference to the far right which was the subject of my essay on the Dublin Riots. There are other reasons for the lack of suitable accommodations for IPAS customers beside “far-right, anti-immigration criminality,” such as, ” sincerely held concerns about local public service capacity”. How nice of IPAS to  acknowledge that normal, non activist citizens might have concerns about the effects on the Health Service, crime, Education, housing and I will add,  cultural and  population balance in local communities.

The rubber hits the road when we start to look at the numbers quoted in the article. For example, IPAS states that 5,360 successful asylum seekers cannot find private accommodation due to high prices. Let me refer you back to the top of this essay when the IT was talking about immigration figures of 18k and 15k for 2024/25. The real reason why there is a housing crisis is that demand has increased exponentially, mainly driven by immigration! This is a consistent theme when there is any article linked to immigration.  If we look at the chart below, created by the CSO, the size of the challenge becomes clear.  Y/e April 2024 estimated immigration was 149,200. Three years ending April 2024 estimated immigration was 398,600. Let’s be charitable and assume that returning Irish immigrants, people from the UK and the EU have accommodation and will not require public funded services, That leaves the CSO termed, ‘the rest of the world’ with a three year total of 226,100 immigrants.

Whichever, figure you take it is an enormous strain on public services and local communities. For any journalist to produce any article on the impact of immigration,  without putting the numbers in context is at best incompetent.

 

Keith Starmer, of all people, has recognised that the chaotic administration of immigration policy has to be rationalised and the people have to be assured that their culture and resources are being wisely managed. He will face an uphill struggle as large sections of his party are against any audit of welfare payments and the government has been very inept at gathering data to prevent waste or fraud. A quick example is the limited visa’s  given to skilled workers to cover temporary residence in the UK. No one seems to have inserted a mechanism to ensure that when the visa expired, workers either returned home or, applied to renew the visa. It seems that the prevailing attitude is that it is just too complicated and fraught with opposition to bother about. This is surely the job of the press to represent the public against this attitude. The IT should be pushing for a full set of holistic data that can be read by the people and should energetically ask the questions that arise. Whilst writing up my latest tirade the IT obligingly published another article on the housing situation, this time entitled, “Ireland’s housing crisis: Why is there such a shortage of homes to buy and rent here?”(IT 23/03/25) No surprises here, in that there  is only discussion on the supply side of the issue, totally ignoring the data issued by the CSO reflecting a huge increase on the demand side.

It seems that we have to explain basic economics to the writers of the IT and similar communicators. If there is a TARGET to produce 50,000 houses and   we produce 60,000, then we are over target to the sum of 10,000 houses. If we produce only 30,000 houses, then we are under target 20,000 houses. THIS IS A MEASURE OF PRODUCTION AND SUPPLY. To measure the true state of the housing crisis we have to measure both sides of the supply and demand equation. Using both sides of the equation and substituting actual DEMAND for targets in the above example, we can apply Mr Micawber’s analysis where excess of demand over supply means unaffordable high prices and “misery” as an outcome.

Given the number of times I see this omission in the Times and other places  the only conclusion I can reach is that this is a deliberate policy of disinformation /misinformation. I assume that this is because those that govern and their collaborators fear that their policies would raise racial tensions but I would argue that pretending that ‘there is nothing to see here’ and suppressing any questioning will only drive opposition underground and out of the normal democratic discourse. A truly democratic approach is to be transparent, produce joined up meaningful data and try to form a contract with the Irish people that is seen to be fair to all stakeholders. This is the mission that the IT should be pursuing but I see little evidence of this in the articles related to one of the two most important issues in the last election. What is the Irish Times afraid of?

Sources

Conor Gallagher, 14/03/25, The Irish Times, State stops opening new asylum seeker centres in certain areas due to ‘local feedback’ and ‘violent protest, https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/social-affairs/2025/03/14/no-new-asylum-seeker-centres-in-certain-areas-due-to-local-feedbackand-criminality/?

Charts from CSO https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-pme/populationandmigrationestimatesapril2024/

Niamh Towey, 23/03/25, The Irish Times, Ireland’s housing crisis: Why is there such a shortage of homes to buy and rent here? https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/housing-planning/2025/03/22/all-the-obstacles-in-front-of-us-why-is-there-such-a-shortage-of-homes-to-buy-and-rent-in-ireland/

Render unto Caesar

 

I received the following last week, included in the weekly Parish Newsletter. Why is it worthy of note?

So much happening at the moment in our world.  On Monday as I’m sure you all know, Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President of The United States.  I don’t know where to begin.  So maybe I won’t, because I credit you with being intelligent and discerning.

I would like to just quote something that I shared on my personal Facebook with regard to Bishop Mariann Budde’s sermon.  Unfortunately, I cannot take credit for this, bur Rev’d Benjamin Cremer; 

 ‘If your Christianity causes you to be offended by someone asking the most powerful person in the country to be merciful towards the powerless, then you have profoundly misunderstood the teachings of Jesus Christ.’

I think it speaks for itself.

Well the first thing that jumped out at me was the reference to Trump’s inauguration and the writers inability to express his thoughts but leaving it to his  intelligent and discerning audience to try and guess what they are. Given the context of the following comments in support of Bishop Budde’s sermon, at the post inauguration prayer service, I think that we can guess.  I had hoped that I wouldn’t be directly confronted with this biased political statement at the Sunday service but we just couldn’t resist it. From the pulpit we heard the ‘opinion’ of the speaker who, this time, left no doubt as to his political leanings. He referred to the democratically elected US President as, amongst other things, a bully and we assume, the US electorate as being less than intelligent and discerning. The assumption that ‘people like us’ can have only one world view was one of the main reason why the Democrats were roundly beaten in the 2024 election. People are tired of being talked down to, especially when the right to reply is controlled by the speaker. My reaction was of mounting irritation both on the grounds of no reply but also I do not think that an individuals political opinion is a suitable subject to be preached as part of a sermon. Also, perhaps a little humility should be exercised when judging the election result and those with TDS should ask themselves why a wide coalition of voters turned against the Biden/Harris Presidency. (Matthew 7:3-5)

The more difficult question was whether Bishop Budde’s sermon was political and therefore an interference in the Government of the democratically elected President or, the duty of a prominent Christian cleric to ask, “…  the most powerful person in the country to be merciful towards the powerless.” (Rev’d Benjamin Cremer) There is a constant tension between religion and government that is visible around the world today, whether Christian, Muslim or other. It was also an issue in biblical times, the most famous example being recorded in Matthew 22:21 where Jesus is challenged by the Church authorities, to effectively state whether he was a traitor to Rome or, God. His famous response was, “Therefore render to Caesar the things that are Caesar’s, and to God the things that are God’s” (Matthew 22:21, ESV). Therefore, in Christianity, there is a line between the secular state and the kingdom of God, the problem is how do we define it. 

Do I think that the Bishop’s comments, during her sermon,  were political? In my opinion, the answer is yes. If the summary below is correct then they could have been copied from the Democrats campaign brochure. However, the Christian message often challenges the powerful but scripture and Christian dogma are often used to support many  arguments, sometimes in bad faith.

During the inaugural prayer service, Budde pleaded with the president to “have mercy upon the people in our country who are scared now.”“There are gay, lesbian, and transgender children in Democratic, Republican, and Independent families, some who fear for their lives,” she added. She also urged the reality TV star-turned-president not to execute his plans that target immigrants. Donata Leskauskaite, AOL, 23/01/25

Is it possible for two opposing things to be true at the same time? I looked at Bishop Budde’s history on Wikipedia and it seemed to tick all the progressive boxes even to the extent that in, “… August 2020, Budde offered the benediction at the closing of the second night of the 2020 Democratic National Convention.” So, can someone who has a declared political bias deliver such a message, in an arena designed to get maximum publicity and still claim that it is on the right side of the Matthew 22:21 test? Whatever Bishop Budde’s political opinions are, when she speaks from the pulpit she represents the faith, not the Church or, any other viewpoint. That some saw her speech as an ambush, worthy of  Trumps opponents, would explain why not everyone supports the view of  Rev’d Benjamin Cremer. If we take another example, that of the last Archbishop of Canterbury who by any definition was left of centre. He espoused many Christian appeals to support his view of the oppressed, which to others would seem to be highly selective. In the end he chose the reputation of the Church rather than  the protection of the innocents. Should all his teachings now be tainted by his actions? If The past Archbishop of Canterbury or, Bishop Budde speak from the pulpit with a motivation other than that inspired by the scriptures have they then crossed a line?

21 “Not everyone who says to me, ‘Lord, Lord,’ will enter the kingdom of heaven, but the one who does the will of my Father who is in heaven. 22 On that day many will say to me, ‘Lord, Lord, did we not prophesy in your name, and cast out demons in your name, and do many mighty works in your name?’ 23 And then will I declare to them, ‘I never knew you; depart from me, you workers of lawlessness.’ Mathew 22:21

 

 

Source

AOL, https://www.aol.com/woke-bishop-mariann-budde-issues-121559858.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9kdWNrZHVja2dvLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAMFDx5LaS_TNvINrtP4iJKk5-U6g0KAqKK4jhKodx0ycoRNsKFSQRkjqz00x5kA2vog5LOE94KZ7Go_sFcdTdHz_1QIPTsuHBRi1Er1dp7G_ZECgkEHI0YribktSSBiAwQF8nhS7pweY5i5QDSQGubiJdupFlKb-AzU4_BqctrD2

Musk wages war on Labour

I was interested in the latest spat between Elon Musk and Keith Starmer due to the equal amounts of heat,  light and pure miss information that it generated. I refer, of course, to the governments response to a demand for a public enquiry into the ‘Asian grooming’ scandal and Musk’s barrage of attacks on Starmer and Jess Phillips (Under-Secretary of State for Safeguarding and Violence Against Women and Girls) refusal to hold one. However, we have hardly started this saga before there is a challenge to the terms commonly used to describe the abusers. I have put the term ‘Asian grooming’ in inverted commers because a report issued by the Labour Party  put the term, ” “grooming gangs” in inverted commas and suggested that using the term in relation to Muslims was racist.” (The Times 09/01/25) I  take the view that if it is an accurate description, backed up by empirical  evidence, then it is not racist. It does become racist if the term is applied to all Asian men and not to a group of criminals who share a common ethnicity.

Head-and-shoulders portrait of .
Sir Keir Starmer responds to demands for an enquiry. The Times 09/01/25

Moving on, amidst all the flag waving and talk of  threats to democracy (Sounds familiar?) we should be able to acknowledge that two things can be true at the same time. On the one hand, we  could say that Mr Starmer might have a point when he questions Mr Musk’s motivation for all his attacks on the UK government. One suspects that Mr Musk concentrates his incredible intellect on the issue of the moment and then moves on to the next target, be it Mars, electric cars, DOGE, social media or, a socialist foreign government. I am sure that the issue of the Asian groomers shocked him and he felt that he had the means and the power to influence UK policy.  However, it would be more convincing if he had shown the same energy in the case of the 320,000 missing children that crossed the US southern border under the Biden administration. The August 2024 report, issued by the DHS Inspector General (see link below) should be well known to him and claims that they weren’t really missing because no one was really looking for them (see Note 1) demands his attention and energy  to cut through the wilful misinformation  surrounding the trafficking of children in the US. On the other  hand, reading from the progressive playbook, Mr Starmer immediately blamed everything on the fabled far right. As the Times reported  he, “accused politicians such as Kemi Badenoch, who have backed a new inquiry, of “amplifying what the far-right is saying” and “jumping on the bandwagon” to gain attention.” (The Times 09/01/25) This does a great disservice to labour MP Anne Cryer, who was shouted down when she first raised the issue; also the Times reporter Andrew Norfolk was called racist when he exposed the scandal in 2011. Labour MP Sarah Champion was accused of being Islamophobic when she spoke up for victims. These and many others were not far right politicians, Mr Starmer!

Maggie Oliver, former detective who resigned after the Rochdale abuse scandal.
Maggie Oliver former detective who resigned after the Rochdale abuse scandal. TONY SPENCER The Times 09/01/25

Maggie Oliver, a former detective with Manchester Police, summarised the widespread rejection of the PM’s attempt to deflect attention away from his government. “Keir’s comments about grooming gangs and the far-right clearly didn’t read the room or the mood of the country and he certainly didn’t read the mood of victims and survivors.”  (The Times 09/01/25) Maggie Oliver now runs the The Maggie Oliver Foundation which supports victims of abuse but first came to prominence exposing the failure of the authorities in Rochdale to take action against the gangs. It can be both true that Mr Musk is partly motivated by ideology, egotism and perhaps malice but it is also true that the issue that he has targeted resonates throughout the country as unfinished business that the government seeks to avoid dealing with. Continuing her response to Mr Starmers ‘extreme right wing’ comment, Maggie Oliver highlight the underlying tone of his statement as showing no real concern for the victims:

“The ones I’ve spoken to in the last few days are furious and would not accept an apology from him if he offered one.” “He clearly still views them as the problem. In the past they were viewed as the problem because what they were doing was considered ‘a lifestyle choice’, now they’re a problem because they’re challenging their inhumane treatment, but he’s accused them of being far-right extremists.” The Times 09/01/25

The term ‘lifestyle choice’ was often used when the authorities were faced with evaluating a victims complaint. Typically, she was young, probably in the system,  from a deprived background and with a drink or drug problem. It was very easy to dismiss her as having little credibility and this disinterest to pursue further investigation was widespread. In 2023 the BBC reported that both Police and Social Services failed to focus on the victims. They quoted from an earlier report from Telford which commented on the same theme:

The inquiry into the Telford abuse scandal, which published its report in 2022, found police dismissive of claims of abuse, with one saying “these girls had chosen to go with, I don’t know, ‘bad boys'”. BBC 04/04/23

The arguments for a national inquiry recognises the feeling amongst the public that previous enquiries were too narrowly drawn; not victim focussed and didn’t challenge the authorities to explain their lack of action.  Jess Phillips, recommendation that any further enquiry  should be local are hotly refuted. The feeling is that there are already too many local enquiries and a national enquiry would have the power to answer the questions from the victims as to why they were ignored for so long. As the Times leader argued:

Grooming gangs were only one element of Professor Jay’s inquiry — Rotherham garners a sole mention in her 468-page report and the gangs in Telford are not referenced. A new national inquiry is needed to explore where and how these gangs operated. It must not skirt around sensitive subjects, including ethnicity. It should not replicate mistakes of the past. (The Times leading Article 06/01/25)

We can immediately dismiss one argument against a full inquiry, that it will hold up the implementation of the 20 recommendations of the Jay report. Parliament has the power to pass legislation as it sees fit and should not be delayed by an ongoing investigation.  On a more serious note some reformers are reluctant to engage in another seven year Jay type report. I would suggest a shorter, more focussed Cass type report which uses existing reports and data from all sources. I rather like the review from the Atlantic on the efficacy of the Cass methodology,

“The Cass report is a model for the treatment of fiercely debated social issues: nuanced, empathetic, evidence-based. It has taken a political debate and returned it to the realm of provable facts.”  The Atlantic 12/04/24

What should a Cass report focus on? It should take a holistic view on all cases of child sexual abuse, nation wide. There should be a drill down on the cases in Rotherham, Oldham, Rochdale, Oxford, Telford, and other  towns but it should be looking at the response by the authorities as much as the criminality of the gangs. There needs to be a scientific approach to data, particularly crime statistics. In the past, UK police were allowed to list ‘crimes solved’ by stating that they knew who committed the crime but just couldn’t prove it. In Ireland, the Central Statistic Office refused to take Police crime figures seriously because they were so inaccurate. In the US, during the Presidential election, the FBI changed the 2023 crime Stats from a reduction of 2% to an increase of 4%. The Jay report called for the ethnicity of the offender to be recorded but there is no clarity as to how that is to be done. Similarly, the gender under which criminals are listed when the criminal has a GRC, is also not clear.  Once a base load of data has been established the victims should have an opportunity to voice their story. As Maggie Oliver said, out of the 7 year long Jay enquiry,” Just two weeks was given to the grooming gang section and only one victim was allowed to give evidence — it was a terrible missed opportunity.” The Times 09/01/25 The final section should be a review of where we are and what needs to be done.

So let’s say we have our Cass style enquiry, what do we expect to see. In the short term, we can challenge some of the misinformation exploding all over the media. For example, according to an article by Tom Calver ( The Times, 12/01/25) the figure of one million girls being abused (per Mr Musk) can be attributed to the Rotherham MP Sarah Champion, who grossed up the number of incidents over five years in Rotherham, plus an allowance for unreported crimes to get an estimated national figure and extending it over a 70-year period. “This is, as Champion later admitted, a “completely unreliable estimate.” ( The Times, 12/01/25). We must be careful in our search for accurate data that we do not lose sight of the victim’s story and unlike the Jay enquiry, time must be given to the survivors to testify to their awful experience at the hands of the gangs and the authorities. Having said that there has to be a report based on facts and an example of this is Tom Calver’s article, entitled,  How common are UK grooming gangs and who are the perpetrators? (link below) For the first time in 2023.  the Police, in response to the Jay report, have reported a national figure of 4,228 cases of “group-based” child sexual abuse and have given a breakdown by ethnicity of these crimes. Tom Calver does a good job in setting the numbers in context and explaining the definition of the various groups. However, given my previous comments on crime figures, this would be the sort of evidence that Cass focussed on in her report on Gender Identity Services for Children. I would recommend anyone interested in the facts of the Asian grooming story to read his article but I would pick a couple of stats he highlighted from the Police report. I might take issue with his chart heading in the article which is ” Tip of the iceberg – Child sexual abuse in 2023. What we might consider to be “grooming gangs” is a tiny share“. Here he is referring to the 717 cases on the first line which he interprets as being the closest to the generally understood meaning of grooming abuse. 

  • Group-based, in-person child sexual exploitation 717
    Group-based, in-person child sexual abuse 4,224
    All in-person child sexual abuse 78,078
    All child sexual abuse (including images 115,489
  • (The Times and The Sunday Times Source: Hydrant)

I am not sure where he gets the additional 40k+ sharing images figure but his main point is that grooming offenses are a relatively small number  compared to the total numbers. However, there is an anomaly when comparing this class of offense against the ethnicity of the general population. According to his data, the Asians represents 9%of  of the general population. Asians account for 8% of ‘All group-based’ child sex abuse, which aligns with their proportion of  the population but account for 16% of the ‘in-person’ child sexual exploitation class which identifies as the closest classification to the grooming offense. He offers no real explanation for this deviation, other than it being possibly due to difference in classification. Again, we have to be very careful about interpreting these numbers, especially as this is the first report of its kind.

In summary, the point of this essay is to attempt to calm the rhetoric and inflammatory commentary surrounding this issue and to recommend a path to logic, reason and accountability. With regard to the  threat of foreign interference in British affairs, the UK has weathered many criticisms from our cousins in America since the war. I  am reminded of the threats by President Obama to put ‘Britain at the back of the queue’ in respect of trade deals unless the British public voted against Brexit. I think this intervention, together with his view implying that the US won the war single handidly, had the opposite effect. Similarly, I think that Mr Musk’s attention will soon shift to his many other interests but I genuinely hope that he does use some of his influence to look at the trafficking of children across his southern border. However, he has ignited a debate on whether the government, both Labour and Conservative, have reneged on the fundamental duty of government to protect the weakest in society. I think that we need a mid term report on whether we failed to protect children by weakness, in fear of racial violence or, incompetence or, a mixture of both. The PM can either boldly seize this question and bring the sexual abuse of children from the darkness into the light or, be counted as an enabler and destroyer of the innocents.

Notes

Note 1) But Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, policy director at the American Immigration Council, a migrant advocacy group, told the BBC the figures are indicative of a bureaucratic “paperwork issue” rather than “anything nefarious”. “When you hear the phrase ‘missing’, you think that there is a child that someone is trying to find and can’t,” he said. “That’s not the case here. The government has not made any effort to find these children.”

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj0jlre7mymo

Sources

Tom Witherow, 09/01/25, The Times, Labour policy suggested ‘grooming gang’ phrase was racist, https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/labour-policy-grooming-gang-racist-islamophobia-xm7mxf9fk

DHS Inspector General https://www.oig.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/assets/2024-08/OIG-24-46-Aug24.pdf

Ben Ellery, 09/01/25, The Times, Grooming-gang victims furious at PM’s ‘far right bandwagon’ claim, https://www.thetimes.com/uk/crime/article/grooming-gang-victims-furious-at-pms-far-right-bandwagon-claim-jktwfmr0w

Tom Symon, 04/04/23, Grooming gangs and ethnicity: What does the evidence say? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-65174096

TOM CALVER , 12/01/25, The Times, How common are UK grooming gangs and who are the perpetrators? https://www.thetimes.com/uk/society/article/grooming-gangs-ethnicities-how-many-statistics-data-dpx2bfrts

 

The Elephant in the Room and the Irish Housing Crisis

I have provisionally labelled this essay as ‘the Elephant in the Room’ but I am conscious that this phrase has become somewhat overused. However, it does adequately describe my reaction to an Irish Times article entitled ‘Homeless figures reach record high with 14,429 people in emergency accommodation.’ What   has piqued my interest  in the article is, what wasn’t mentioned, hence my provisional title. The figures were released by the Department of Housing and related to those 10,028 adults and 4401 children in emergency accommodation in the week of July 22nd to 28th. You might be forgiven for thinking that the homeless figure was smaller than you had been led to believe. The article stated that this involved 2,086 families which could be easily managed within the Taoiseach’s promise of 250,000 houses over  5 years. (The Independent 07/04/24) Well not quite, as there are 6,573 single adults included in the numbers, it doesn’t give a breakdown by sex which would have been interesting. Let us assume that this means that we have to add the single adult number to the number of families to get the number of housing units required to solve the housing crisis. Well again not quite, as the numbers exclude the following:

None of this data includes homeless people who are in domestic refuges, those in direct provision centres who have leave to remain in the State, those who are sleeping rough, or the 2,539 male asylum seekers awaiting offers of accommodation. Irish Times 30/08/24

IPAS Accommodation Occupancy 2004 to 28/07/2024 fig 1

There doesn’t seem to be a holistic set of statistics for the homeless, which is surprising given the number of plans published by various parties to solve the problem. If we take the definition of homeless to mean all those who have no permanent accommodation, then we must add back those who have been excluded from the Department of Housing report. For example, as shown in fig 1 opposite, there are 31,563 people in direct provision managed by the International Protection Accommodation Services (IPAS). If we take the most recent weekly breakdown of those in direct provision (fig 2) as fairly representative, we can see that the housing requirement is not far short of the 30k figure in that  all the groups shown in fig 2 will require separate housing units, with the exception  of the children. I fully understand that this is a rough and ready

Total Weekly Arrivals Breakdown Total 424 Arrivals 04/08/24 fig 2

estimate but I don’t see any attempt by the IT to question the Department of Housings  definition of homelessness.  Why go down this particular rabbit hole? It is just to demonstrate that we need to question every statement made by government and media. There may be a reasonable explanation as to why homelessness is defined by one government department differently from the man or woman in the street. It is the job of the media to question and explain why that may be so.

The reaction to the report was predictable and the usual suspects  were canvassed. Focus Ireland’s chief executive Pat Dennigan said ‘that family homelessness was continuing to rise mainly because families were finding it’ “harder than ever to secure a home and move out of homelessness”. ‘Labour leader Ivana Bacik described as “utterly heartbreaking” that thousands of children were “heading back to school” from emergency shelter.’ Catherine Kenny, chief executive of Dublin Simon, said as winter approached “the urgency of addressing the homeless crisis becomes even more pressing”. She continued: “An exponential increase in the development of new social housing … must be at the forefront of any Budget discussions.” (Irish Times 30/08/24) I am trying not to be disparaging about the above commentators but when I say the usual suspects they do tend to belong to a particular mindset who believe the only solution is government intervention and whose policy is mainly emotionally driven. However, there are those who I don’t mind disparaging and right on time we have the solution from Sinn Fein. They has seen the Taoiseach’s bid of 250k houses and have raised it to 300k with no impact on the exchequer. I will leave any analyse of their bid to those of us who believe that there is no such thing as a free lunch. Also, for those of us  who remember the Celtic Tiger housing boom and the never ending saga of the Children’s Hospital, I am more than a bit sceptical about the governments ability to bring such a large project to fruition, in a timely, cost effective and efficient manner. What is the common theme from most of the above commentators is that we must increase supply by government subsidy, in one form or another. The Taoiseach says we need 250,000 units, Sinn Fein says 300,000, why not 500,000? These are just numbers thrown into the wind. Do we have the resources to do this and where are all these houses going to be built? We all remember the ‘ghost towns’ of the Celtic Tiger years. What we are not hearing is anything resembling a coherent plan.

And then we come to the Elephant in the room. When considering the shortage of any commodity we need to look at both sides of the supply and demand equation. John Ring, director of research at Savills, summarised the situation, as follows:

“While it is true that many countries across the world are facing housing shortages, it is important to recognise that the severity of Ireland’s is on a different level to others … Ireland has unique drivers – a delayed natural population boom, high migration due to strong economic growth, and structural legacy issues resulting from the Celtic Tiger crash – that explain why Ireland has the unenviable position having the worst supply-to-population growth [ratio] of the countries analysed.” (Irish Times, 15/08/24)

He might also have added government inactivity to the causes. If we look at the

CSO, 27/08/24, Population and Migration Estimates, April 2024 fig 3
Figure 4: Immigration Classified by Broad Citizenship Group, 2018 – 2024

year ended April 2024 population estimates produced by the CSO (fig 3)  we immediately see one of the most important elements fuelling the housing crises,  mentioned by John Ring. The number we should look at is the top line which shows that there was an estimated 141k immigrants in the 12 months ending in April 2023 and 149k in 12 months ending April 2024. Now before anyone points out that we should subtract the emigration number to establish the net immigration figure, I would remind them that , in this instance, we  are looking at housing demand and not population growth. In the CSO graph Fig 4: Immigration Classified by Broad Citizenship Group, 2018 – 2024, two things become obvious. The first is the exponential growth in immigration from 2021 and the second is the dominance of the ‘Rest of the World’ number. In the last two years that number was 86.8k for 2024 and 81.1K for 2023 but there was an outward flow, in this class, of 21.5k in 2024 and 14.4k in 2023 which can be offset.(CSO 27/08/24)  The impact on housing demand of the other groups is fairly stable.

Breakdown of IPAS occupants in December 2023 fig 5

If we focus on the largest variable on the demand side of the equation we can also accept that not all of the net ‘Rest of the World’ numbers will require individual housing units. (86.6+81.1-21.5-14.4=132k) If we make another assumption and apply the proportions of single v family numbers in IPAS care  in fig 5 to the two year net figure of the ‘Rest of the World’ immigration, we will get some idea of the real demand for housing. If we can extrapolate from fig 5 it would mean that single males make up 57.4k of the ‘Rest of the World’ total, single woman 16.9k and the remaining 57.7k is representing couples and families. If we want to gestimate how many units that makes, we can use the proportions in fig 2 to hazard a guess to breakdown the last category. Thus, if we take 3% of the family class and divide by 2, we get an approximation of the single parent number housing units. ( 3% x 57.7 /2= 0.87 units). If we then take the remaining number, assume 4 people per family (2022 Census records 1.34 children per family) we can have a view on what the ‘Rest of the World’ housing demand is. (3% x 57.7,/4 = 14k).

So, what is the final gestimate of housing for the biggest variable in the immigration numbers? Rest of the World net immigration 132k.  Demand for accommodation based on that number, Single males 57.4k + single females 16.9k + single parents 0.9k + families 14k = 89.2k/2 = 44.6k units per year

The Social Contract Has Been Completely Ruptured’: Ireland’s Housing Crisis’ (New York Times 15/01/24)

I fully recognise that these are numbers held together by string and Sellotape; from disparate sources that don’t always line up and based on assumptions that are somewhat arbitrary. However, I couldn’t find a similar official breakdown, either from government sources or the media. I am sure that there is such a breakdown but to the ordinary citizen it is difficult to find. Up until 2021 Ireland had a housing problem, within three years it has become a housing crisis and the main reason for the change is immigration. To clarify, this essay is not about immigration, per se but about the absence of any honest discussion about the impact on the people and the plans to deal with what are foreseeable challenges. And that is the most frustrating part. The housing crisis is just one manifestation of this sudden change that is obvious to anyone with their wits about them.  However the government and the media are operating under the rules of a form of omerta. Any discussion on housing should look at all the variables and instead of trying to label  any contrary opinion as disinformation, should publish their own plans for the future and the data supporting them. As a random example, I read an article from the Irish Times editorial entitled, The Irish Times view on the housing crisis: further threats facing into 2023. Apparently, the only driver was the slowdown in building, nothing on the demand side changed it seems. In contrast, across the Atlantic/ Megan Specia sums up the current situation in an article entitled, ‘The Social Contract Has Been Completely Ruptured’: Ireland’s Housing Crisis’ (New York Times 15/01/24) I have discussed this issue in another essay (Dublin Riots  ) and silence on one of the main  reasons for the housing crisis is another manifestation of an increasing gulf between the citizens and government in Ireland. Finally, I was tempted to go with the New York Times heading but have stayed with the Elephant in the Room. It may be a bit  hackneyed but it fits.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sources

Kitty Holland, 30/08/24, Irish Times, Homeless figures reach record high with 14,429 people in emergency accommodation, https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/social-affairs/2024/08/30/homeless-figures-reach-record-high-with-14429-people-in-emergency-accommodation/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_content=Homeless figures reach record high with 14%2C429 people in emergency accommodation&utm_campaign=evening_update_digest

Ian Curran Jack Horgan-Jones, 18/08/24, Irish Times, Ireland’s housing crisis ‘on a different level’ with population growing at nearly four people for every new home built, https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/2024/08/15/housing-irelands-population-is-growing-at-nearly-four-people-for-every-new-home-built/

CSO, 27/08/24, Population and Migration Estimates, April 2024, https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-pme/populationandmigrationestimatesapril2024/keyfindings/

A Bad Week for Dems and the FT

Georgia newspaper requires Biden to take away himself out of presidential race | Invesloan.com

I was going to introduce a new culture page and comment on my recent attendance  at two opera’s and one play. However, the Dems had a bad week and I couldn’t resist commenting on the rare sight of the Democratic party in complete disarray. It started, of course, with the Presidential debate and the picture, opposite, tells the whole story. What does surprise me is the impact it had on the progressives. Like most sane people I thought that everyone knew that the President was suffering a decline and as a result, a very low bar was set for his performance. Normally, if he managed to stay upright for 90 minutes, the press would laud whatever he managed to remember from his week long training session, declare him victorious and we could all move on. That didn’t happen! I think part of the reason why the resulting implosion was so dramatic was that the legacy press just couldn’t defend or miss or diss inform what was in front of peoples eyes.

I will follow up on the reverberations from this disaster later but a slew of Supreme Court decisions added to the progressives’ misery. Of the nineteen, end of term, decisions published, three stand out as being immediately relevant for the election in November.

  1. Fischer v. United States – This case revolves around the interpretation of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 section 15.12.C2. This act was a response to the destruction of evidence in the Enron case and made it an offense if a person, “alters, destroys, mutilates, or conceals a record, document, or other object, or attempts to do so, with the intent to impair the object’s integrity or availability for use in an official proceeding.” Scotus 603 US 2024. Jan 6 prosecutors, used this act, in conjunction with others, to charge protesters with obstructing official proceedings but the Supreme Court found that the section under which they were charged was limited by the listed destruction of physical evidence and not prevention of  the proceedings. This complicates Jack Smiths case against Donald Trump and as an example of the asymmetric application of the law, it should have have been used against Hillary Clinton,  who destroyed evidence that was the subject of an investigation. Not surprisingly, in that case the DOJ declined to press charges.

2. Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, and Relentless Inc. v. Dept. of Commerce.

Fishermen at the centre of the SCOTUS case against the Dept of Commerce ( (Joe Lamberti for The Washington Post)

These were two cases brought by fishermen against a government agency who forced the fishermen to pay for an onboard inspector. The issue before the court was that there was no basis in statute or any other regulation that gave the agency the power to do this. The Court decided to overturn, what was known as the Chevron deference, where there was undue weight given to government agencies  when expert opinion was needed to decide on  ambiguous law. In the cases before it, SCOTUS ruled that Congress had not given these wide powers to the government and therefore, the actions were ultra virus.

3. Trump v. United States. This is the decision that has created most noise from the Dems. Talk of Trump sending Seal Teams to assassinate some political enemy abound. The editorial from the Financial Times, of all papers, gives us a flavour of the end of democracy mantra so loved by the Dems. The editorial is entitled, The Supreme Court has undermined US democracy, and in its final paragraph grandly talks in terms of the American revolution helping to spur the world away from ‘tyranny and towards democracy and accountability. But look around you! We have truly witnessed a revelation when we saw the debate and the frailty of the President. This had been an open secret to those on the right but to those who depended on the legacy press it was really shocking. At every turn government spokes persons, journalists and celebrities talked about how sharp he was, behind closed doors until the lie was exposed. Also, When you talk of the threat to democracy you surely can’t be talking about the Biden administration attempt to prevent his political opponent from being on the ballot, SCOTUS Donald Trump v. Norma Anderson.

Think about it. Who has weaponised and used state agencies to promote autocratic rule against it’s opponents, from pushing Russiagate to hiding Hunter’s laptop from the electorate. Who commands the sort of power that includes the FBI and intelligence agencies to the so called free press. Do we really believe Donald Trump has that power? The FT regrets that the three remaining cases will probably not be heard before the election. Hardly the fault of SCOTUS or Trump, as they could had been heard any time in the last couple of years. As the FT  implies the real planned timing was to land these cases to coincide with the Republican primaries and November elections. Speaking of lawfare, the FT shows no interest in putting the SCOTUS decision in context. It did not happen in a vacuum but in response to the attempt to eliminate a political opponent by very undemocratic means. In an article explaining why this provision was needed now, the Washington Examiner made the following comment.

“The difference now is that the Democratic Party has decided Republicans must be prevented at any cost from winning presidential elections and that abusing the criminal justice system and lying about the current president’s mental health are all justified toward that political end. The Supreme Court put a brake on that slide Tuesday and we applaud it.” Washington Examiner, 02/07/24

The FT only had to do a little research to see that the four main cases against Trump were politically motivated. For example, if we look at the prosecutors, both Bragg and Fani Willis were elected on a ‘Get Trump’ ticket. Nothing partisan about that then. Jack Smiths appointment has been challenged and his claimed independence from the Biden DOJ is looking very suspect. But hasn’t Trump been found guilty in NY? The short answer is that he could only have been found guilty in NY or DC, where Trump derangement syndrome is endemic. Even the Justice Department didn’t take the case, possibly because it had failed in a similar case against the Democratic presidential candidate, John Edwards. It just got worse when the only witness that could prove conspiracy was a disbarred lawyer, a felon who had serially lied and contradicted his own evidence, who hated Trump and even admitted stealing from him. Michael Cohen is a real piece of debris. I would challenge the FT to take even a cursory glance at this case and tell me that it wasn’t politically motivated with the objective of taking out the Republicans Presidential candidate.

No, Trump Did Not Call Neo-Nazis and White Supremacists ‘Very Fine People’ Snopes

When Joe Biden first stood for President he gave one of his reasons for standing as his opposition to Trumps support for racism, supposedly expressed in his 2017 Charlottesville speech. Biden has repeated the ‘Very Fine People’ quote on many occasions, the most recent being the Presidential debate.  The problem is that Snopes, hardly a conservative organisation , has fact checked it and found that, ‘No, Trump Did Not Call Neo-Nazis and White Supremacists ‘Very Fine People’. Given the number of times Biden used the quote we can only assume that this was deliberate miss information, However, the interesting thing is that it only appears to have been fact checked very recently. This means that the press had looked the other way, as it did with Bidens decline and so many other things, for around seven years and only now seems to have applied some basic journalism to current events. The challenge for the FT is to prove that it isn’t part of the media who covered up Bidens incapacity. The media who supported the whole Russia gate lie, who hid the Hunter laptop from the electorate, who hasn’t reported on the weaponisation of the Federal agencies. Who looks away when Mayorkus says that the border is secure and says that Trump is the enemy of democracy, whilst supporting efforts to prevent him standing in an election.

It is also evidenced by the FT editorial that ignored the context of the Supreme Court decision and without irony, projects all the undemocratic attempts by the Dems to subvert democracy, on to Trump claiming that he is the threat to democracy. 

So, we have seen the chaos caused by one event which showed the extent of the Biden administrations contempt for the truth and the media’s compliance by reporting the party line. The FT has to make a decision as to whether they are part of that group or, whether they will go the extra mile to give a balanced view of the news. The editorial referred to above was not balanced or, well researched but a rather lazy and biased fabrication. However, I will agree with their sub title to the editorial which read:

We have now observed the extent to which an occupant of the Whitehouse can erode democratic norms. FT 03/07/24

When will the FT realise that the above is a perfect description of the present administration and be brave enough to report the truth.

 

Sources

Editorial, The Financial Times, 03/07/24, The Supreme Court has undermined US democracy

Washington Examiner, 02/07/24, Supreme Court strikes proper balance on presidential immunity, washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/3065980/supreme-court-strikes-proper-balance-on-presidential-immunity/

Jonathan Turley, 24/03/24, Why Alvin Bragg’s case against Trump is falling apart, New York Post, https://nypost.com/2023/03/23/why-braggs-case-against-trump-is-falling-apart/

Addendum to the Referendum

I was going to do a follow up to my essay on the the proposed amendments to the Irish Constitution ( see Referendum ) but the Scots launched their Hate Speech Act on April Fools day and I couldn’t resist commenting on it. ( Hate Speech ) I had put the Referendum on the back burner until an article in the Irish Times caught my eye. Before we examine it, I would like to say that the quality of investigative journalism has fallen but in equal part, the ability of people to asses the truthfulness of the information supplied has also deteriorated. You used to accept that the Guardian and the Telegraph were reporting from different ends of the political spectrum but the basic facts were there and usually the opposite view was given some space to give a sense of balance. Now there is a definite partisan bias to mainstream news coverage. On the other hand, readers are far less inclined to question what and how news is reported.  Well let’s see how well the IT matches up to that low  bar.

Former Justice Minister. Michael McDowell. The Independent

The story concerns the thirty ninth and fortieth Amendment to the Constitution and one of the most contentious  issues was the attempt to redefine the family by adding the term ‘durable relationships’ to Article 41.1.1. Opponents to the Amendment immediately pointed out that this phrase had no legal meaning in this context. Indeed, the leading opponent of the referendum, former Justice Minister  Michael McDowell, raised the potential problems with taxation, succession and family law. As reported by the I.T, “Campaigners for No warned before the family vote of “long-term consequences” for tax law. But when the Government was asked whether it had examined the tax implications of the proposed amendment, it stated in unambiguous terms that there would be no tax impact.” (IT 21/05/24) Unfortunately for the government, this position was not true. As a result of a freedom of information (FOI) request documents relating to this question were released by the Revenue, and told a different story.

Revenue officials warned of potential tax law changes arising from the family referendum before Ministers claimed the proposal had no tax implications, according to newly-released files that raise fresh questions about the Government campaign. (IrishTimes, 21/05/24)

It is difficult to underestimate the seriousness of this. The government has run for cover and used the Attorney General as a shield against the accusations of miss or diss information to push through an unpopular change to the Constitution. This is as if the prosecution in a murder trial hid exculpatory evidence from the defence lawyers. The government were put on notice that the Department that administered the tax regime had serious doubts about the wording to be used in the amendments. An honest government would have disclosed the Revenue’s reservation and the A.G.’s review and let it be part of the public debate. There is no other way of putting this, the government hid the revenue’s warning and repeatedly lied to the public on the tax question.

What else can we take  from the I.T. article. There are two bits of information that I think are worth looking at. The first is, who filed the FOI request? It is not clear, from the article, whether it was  the I.T.  or publications like Gript but credit to both of them for following up on this story  The second question is, which Ministers lied to the public? You wouldn’t know from the IT article, which means I have to deduct some points gained for pursuing the story. They talk about the government and it’s spokesmen but no names. We are too used to tiredly accepting low standards from high officials but just like naughty children, if there are no consequences for bad behaviour, then it becomes the norm. The view of the IT seems to be, ‘not  much to see here’ and described the lie as a “constructive ambiguity”.  (IT 22/05/24) That’s a new one on me and I am sure that it took a lot of resources from the IT staff to come up with that one. They further stated that, although the government was hiding behind the A.G. one could “imply” that this meant that they had, at least, considered  the Revenues opinion, even though their conclusion was wrong. Hold on though, it just gets even more distant from reality as the editorial continued,

The trouble is that such nuances get lost in the noise. Instead, the impression that is left is one of a government misleading the electorate. That, in the current climate, can further erode public trust. Governments would do well to bear this in mind in advance of future referendums. (IT 22/05/24)

Parties for a Yes vote in the Constitutional Referendum 2024.Irish Times

We seem to forget that the government and all it’s people work  for the Irish citizens. The government has no money or assets of it’s own but disperses money taken from those citizens. We seem to have morphed into a society run by a small elite of cultural marxists and their fellow travellers who exist in a bubble totally out of touch with the people that ultimately employ them. This is why the IT  didn’t identify those who lied but talked in terms of ‘nuances’ and the rather ridiculous ‘constructive ambiguity’. This, in part, explains the outcome of the referendum, the very short version being that Leo and Co. got hammered and humiliated and he resigned! There was another issue related to the proposed change of definition of the family in the constitution and that relates to immigration. As reported by Gary Kavanagh, a  senior official in the Department of Justice said “The State has been able to maintain an immigration system so far precisely because Article 41 is applied to a small, tightly-defined group of people. The State will not be able to regulate immigration if this protection is applied any more widely.” (Gript, 21/05/24) Was it a ‘constructive ambiguity’ that prevented this issue surfacing during the debate on the referendum?

The IT is correct when it says that there is a loss of public trust in government institutions and also in those that support them. There is no ‘noise‘  that deafened people to an explanation of the governments action. There is no ‘impression‘ that the  government mislead the electorate as the IT put it. There is no doubt that the government lied  but they lied with the expectation that there would be no consequences. I will leave it to Senator Sharon Keogan to sum up.

“Today’s disclosure, in addition to the Interdepartmental Minutes and the leaks by Gript and The Ditch earlier this year, make it an inescapable fact that this government misled the Irish public on the Constitutional referendums…..“This should be a national scandal – if this were a different period of time in which we didn’t have so many journalists seeking Special Advisor roles. The legacy media would be asking government ministers, ‘when are you going to resign?’(Gript, 21/05/24)

 

Sources

Arthur Beesley, 21/05/24, The Irish Times, Revenue officials wthe sarned privately that family referendum could force tax changes

Editorial, 22/05/24, The Irish Times, The Irish Times view on referendum information: a potential erosion of trust

Maria Maynes, 21/05/24, Gript, SENATOR: REVENUE OFFICIALS’ WARNING THAT FAMILY REFERENDUM COULD FORCE TAX CHANGES ‘SHOULD BE NATIONAL SCANDAL’

Two proposed amendments, which voters considered on Friday, were intended to reflect the more secular, liberal values of the nation’s modern era.

https://www.irishtimes.com/life-style/2024/03/16/metropolitan-bubble-referendum-fallout-for-irish-politics-and-wider-society/?